Philadelphia Fed - In December, the Philadelphia Fed has remained at a level consistent with a continuation of the upward trend of manufacturing output in the short term, but down slightly from 22.5 to 20.8 . In January we expect chel'indice can remain essentially unchanged, confirming that the short-term prospects remain positive for the industrial sector through the international economic recovery and improvement domestic demand. Our expectations are for a drop to 20.
Sales of existing homes - after having fluctuated around 4.5 million in the last three months, we expect that sales of existing homes show a strong improvement in the short term: our estimate is that the data can be corrected by 4.68ma 4.5m in December. In line with other data in the real estate market, sales of existing homes are expected to improve further in coming months, while remaining at historically low levels.
Leading indicator - The leading indicator rose 1, 1% m / m in November, indicating that economic activity in the United States could be strengthened in the coming months. The December figure should give a more reassuring message on the outlook for the U.S. economy, rising 0.8% m / m. The largest positive contribution should come from the spread in interest rates, with requests for unemployment and the stock market, while the largest negative contribution should come from the vendor performance.
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